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  2. ›STUDY GUIDE
  3. ›UK, Cambridge, A Level and IB
  4. ›IB Diploma DP1
  5. ›Mathematics
  6. ›Statistics and probability

IB Diploma DP1 / Mathematics / Curriculum

Statistics and probability

Statistics and probability: structured theory, worked examples, answered practice, and a mastery checklist for IB Diploma DP1.

CHAPTER PLAN

Learn, practise, and check your progress

Follow the steps in order or jump directly to the part you need.

—/5

completed

Estimated active study time

209 minutes

  1. 1. Understand

    Objectives, key ideas, and structured theory.

    Open →
  2. 2. Follow the method

    Worked examples that explain every step.

    Open →
  3. 3. Practise

    Graded tasks with hints and answer guidance.

    Open →
  4. 4. Consolidate

    Assignments from core work to challenge.

    Open →
  5. 5. Check

    A timed, marked test with solution guidance.

    Open →

Progress is stored only in this browser and does not require AI credits.

Learning objectives

  • ✓Recognise, explain, and apply “Descriptive statistics”.
  • ✓Recognise, explain, and apply “Correlation”.
  • ✓Recognise, explain, and apply “Regression”.
  • ✓Recognise, explain, and apply “Probability rules”.
  • ✓Recognise, explain, and apply “Distributions introduction”.

Key ideas and checks

  • I choose an appropriate statistic.
  • I calculate and interpret probabilities.
  • Every solution or explanation for “Statistics and probability” should include a method, justification, and final check.

Unit

Core theory

The essential chapter ideas in a clear sequence before practice.

01

Data and population

Before calculating, identify what each value measures, the population, and whether the sample is representative.

02

Statistic with interpretation

Mean, median, range, and probability answer different questions. Give the value together with a contextual interpretation.

03

Scale and probability check

A graph needs a valid scale and a probability must lie from 0 to 1. These checks immediately expose inconsistent answers.

04

Descriptive statistics

State what each value measures, organise it in a table or graph, then choose the appropriate statistic. Finish with estimation, an inverse operation, or substitution as a check.

05

Correlation

State what each value measures, organise it in a table or graph, then choose the appropriate statistic. Finish with estimation, an inverse operation, or substitution as a check.

06

Regression

State what each value measures, organise it in a table or graph, then choose the appropriate statistic. Finish with estimation, an inverse operation, or substitution as a check.

07

Probability rules

State what each value measures, organise it in a table or graph, then choose the appropriate statistic. Finish with estimation, an inverse operation, or substitution as a check.

08

Distributions introduction

State what each value measures, organise it in a table or graph, then choose the appropriate statistic. Finish with estimation, an inverse operation, or substitution as a check.

Mathematics

Worked examples

Follow the method step by step and check why every step is valid.

Worked data example

For the data 2, 7, 9, 9, 5, find the mean and range.

  1. 1Sum = 32 and count = 5.
  2. 2Mean = 32/5.
  3. 3Range = maximum - minimum.

Mean 6.4, range 7.

Reasoning example

Before calculating, explain the key idea from “Descriptive statistics” and which conditions must be checked.

  1. 1Define the idea in one clear sentence.
  2. 2Connect it to a representation, law, or formula.
  3. 3State a restriction, unit, or final check that makes the solution valid.

The answer should show not only which rule is used for “Descriptive statistics”, but also why it is valid here.

Statistics and probability

Practice with answers

Eight graded tasks from core fluency to exam-style application. Work independently before opening a hint or answer.

Core fluency4 minutes

Data: 7, 6, 7, 6. Find mean and range.

Hint

Mean = sum/count.

Answer guide

mean = 6.5, range = 1.

Core fluency5 minutes

Order 6, 3, 9, 3, 3 and find the median.

Hint

The median is the middle ordered value.

Answer guide

3, 3, 3, 6, 9; median = 3.

Application6 minutes

A bag contains 6 blue and 5 yellow counters. Find P(blue).

Hint

Favourable outcomes / total outcomes.

Answer guide

P = 6/11.

Application7 minutes

In 90 trials, an outcome occurred 18 times. Find relative frequency and percentage.

Hint

Divide frequency by number of trials.

Answer guide

18/90 = 0.2 = 20%.

Reasoning8 minutes

Values 5, 4 have frequencies 4, 5. Find the weighted mean.

Hint

Sum value×frequency and divide by total frequency.

Answer guide

(5·4 + 4·5)/9 = 4.44.

Reasoning9 minutes

Two samples have the same mean but ranges 8 and 48. Which is more consistent and why?

Hint

Lower spread means greater consistency.

Answer guide

The sample with range 8 is more consistent because its values are less spread out.

Exam style10 minutes

Choose a suitable graph for “Correlation” and justify axes, scale, and title.

Hint

Decide whether data are categorical, discrete, or continuous.

Answer guide

A full response matches graph type to the data, labels axes and units, uses an even scale, and includes a clear title.

Exam style12 minutes

Explain why correlation between two variables does not prove causation.

Hint

A third factor or reverse relationship may exist.

Answer guide

Correlation shows co-variation, not a controlled mechanism. Establishing causation needs a designed experiment and control of confounders.

Common mistakes

  • Using the mean when outliers distort the result.
  • Using the wrong denominator in a probability.
  • Drawing a graph without title, units, or consistent scale.

Mastery check

  • ✓I choose an appropriate statistic.
  • ✓I calculate and interpret probabilities.
  • ✓I check sample and graph quality.

Statistics and probability

Chapter homework

Six distinct assignments from core fluency to challenge, each with an estimated time, hint, and answer guide.

Core8 minutes

Homework 1: Data: 3, 2, 3, 2. Find mean and range.

Hint

Mean = sum/count.

Answer guide

mean = 2.5, range = 1.

Core10 minutes

Homework 2: Order 10, 6, 24, 4, 6 and find the median.

Hint

The median is the middle ordered value.

Answer guide

4, 6, 6, 10, 24; median = 6.

Stretch12 minutes

Homework 3: A bag contains 9 blue and 6 yellow counters. Find P(blue).

Hint

Favourable outcomes / total outcomes.

Answer guide

P = 9/15.

Stretch15 minutes

Homework 4: In 75 trials, an outcome occurred 15 times. Find relative frequency and percentage.

Hint

Divide frequency by number of trials.

Answer guide

15/75 = 0.2 = 20%.

Challenge18 minutes

Homework 5: Values 8, 5 have frequencies 5, 8. Find the weighted mean.

Hint

Sum value×frequency and divide by total frequency.

Answer guide

(8·5 + 5·8)/13 = 6.15.

Challenge20 minutes

Homework 6: Two samples have the same mean but ranges 4 and 8. Which is more consistent and why?

Hint

Lower spread means greater consistency.

Answer guide

The sample with range 4 is more consistent because its values are less spread out.

50 minutes / 40 marks

Full chapter test

A timed, full-mark self-assessment with model-answer guidance.

Test timer

Ready to start

Time remaining: 50:00

Start the timer when ready, work without notes, show every step, and open model answers only after finishing.

1. Data: 8, 2, 8, 2. Find mean and range.

2 marks
Answer guide

mean = 5.0, range = 6.

2. Order 8, 4, 16, 4, 4 and find the median.

3 marks
Answer guide

4, 4, 4, 8, 16; median = 4.

3. A bag contains 7 blue and 6 yellow counters. Find P(blue).

3 marks
Answer guide

P = 7/13.

4. In 45 trials, an outcome occurred 9 times. Find relative frequency and percentage.

4 marks
Answer guide

9/45 = 0.2 = 20%.

5. Values 6, 5 have frequencies 5, 6. Find the weighted mean.

4 marks
Answer guide

(6·5 + 5·6)/11 = 5.45.

6. Two samples have the same mean but ranges 9 and 18. Which is more consistent and why?

4 marks
Answer guide

The sample with range 9 is more consistent because its values are less spread out.

7. Choose a suitable graph for “Correlation” and justify axes, scale, and title.

5 marks
Answer guide

A full response matches graph type to the data, labels axes and units, uses an even scale, and includes a clear title.

8. Explain why correlation between two variables does not prove causation.

5 marks
Answer guide

Correlation shows co-variation, not a controlled mechanism. Establishing causation needs a designed experiment and control of confounders.

9. Design a study about “Probability rules”: population, sample, variables, and possible bias.

5 marks
Answer guide

A complete design defines population, random/stratified sampling, measurable variables, sample size, and a specific bias with mitigation.

10. Evaluate a conclusion about “Distributions introduction” using sample size, spread, and limitations.

5 marks
Answer guide

The evaluation links the claim to representativeness, uncertainty/spread, and at least one limitation of data collection.

Unit

Official sources and verification

Curriculum reference sources. Always confirm the teaching sequence with the school and tutor.

UK Department for Education - MathematicsOfficial national curriculum progression and attainment guidance.International Baccalaureate - DP curriculumOfficial DP subject structure and current subject briefs.

Mathematics

Start from the board specification and work topic by topic before full papers.

Back to subject

What this chapter covers

The structure follows the official textbook layout and is used to organise study.

Descriptive statistics
Correlation
Regression
Probability rules
Distributions introduction

Where to focus

The areas that usually create mistakes or need extra revision.

I choose an appropriate statistic.
I calculate and interpret probabilities.
I check sample and graph quality.

Sources, daily material, and resources

Where to start: textbook, daily material, PDFs, videos, and worked examples.

Start from the official textbook or specification referenced on the subject page.
Use the notes and examples as support, not as a replacement for the official syllabus.
Check the current syllabus version before exam preparation.

Practice by subtopic

Targeted practice before full tests so coverage is clear.

Data: 7, 6, 7, 6. Find mean and range.
Order 6, 3, 9, 3, 3 and find the median.
A bag contains 6 blue and 5 yellow counters. Find P(blue).
In 90 trials, an outcome occurred 18 times. Find relative frequency and percentage.
Values 5, 4 have frequencies 4, 5. Find the weighted mean.
Two samples have the same mean but ranges 8 and 48. Which is more consistent and why?
Choose a suitable graph for “Correlation” and justify axes, scale, and title.
Explain why correlation between two variables does not prove causation.

Mocks and progress checks

How to measure progress in this chapter and when it enters a cumulative mock.

Start with untimed practice by subtopic.
Move to a short timed checkpoint only after completing the mastery checklist.
Record each error with the correct method and revisit it after 48 hours.

Next step

What to do after finishing the chapter and how it connects to the next unit.

Complete the practice without support.
Explain the core method aloud in under two minutes.
Continue to the next chapter or request targeted tutor support.

Note: for the official examinable syllabus of each school year, always confirm with the school, tutor, and current Ministry/IEP announcements.

Chapter 4 of 7

← Previous chapterGeometry and trigonometryNext chapter →Calculus introduction
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